Brian Leubitz
A while back, David Binder and Amy Simon ran a poll paid for by a coalition of LGBT, civil rights organizations, and hey the Calitics CaliPAC. I want to thank everybody who supported the CaliPAC as we work for equality.
When asked, “Do you strongly favor, somewhat favor, somewhat oppose, or strongly oppose allowing same-sex couples to be legally married,” 47% say favor and 48% say oppose. Support for any given ballot measure will depend on the specific language of that measure. For example, results show that support increases if the language specifically includes a provision that says no clergy will be required to perform a service that goes against their faith.
In terms of 2010 vs 2012, there a ton of factors. Turnout might favor marriage equality, however, 2012 will also pull a lot of our volunteers to Nevada and other places for Obama. Who knows what else will be on the ballot to drive turnout in each of these general elections.
Links and more details forthcoming.
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